GeopoliticsResolved
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$89.5K
674 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 230 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $20·NO $4.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-92.2%)
Whales
5
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·100 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 67.5%
V
VolynMolfar🥈
Entry 15¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 66.0%
C
Crypto-Well🥉
Entry 0¢·3,333 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.5%
E
Elias.Thornwellhedged
Entry 13¢·8.3 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 1¢·31 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+0.4%)
Whales
18
T
Talophex🥇
Entry 99¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $2.5K · WR 91.6%
T
Top1-J🥈
Entry 99¢·2,300 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $2.3K · WR 94.5%
V
vozomnil🥉
Entry 98¢·1,483.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $1.4K · WR 74.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 97¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$971
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $971 · WR 72.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 99¢·584.4 shares
Invested
$576
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $576 · WR 70.5%
P
PicklePredictor
Entry 100¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$499
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $499 · WR 79.2%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $298 · WR 70.2%
W
Well-To-Do-Amenity
Entry 100¢·183.7 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $183 · WR 66.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 372¢·31 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $115 · WR 57.7%
E
Emrick343s
Entry 100¢·53.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $53 · WR 92.9%
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