81 days left

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

10¢

10% implied

NO Price

90¢

90% implied

Volume

$18.1K

362 trades

Smart Whales

10

of 132 traders

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

17 MARKETS · $401.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027

10¢+30¢$35.2K14/21

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027+30¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027

6¢+55¢$13.5K14/9

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027+55¢6¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027

10¢+44¢$71.6K53/46

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027+44¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027

12¢+42¢$24.1K20/17

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027+42¢12¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027

5¢+42¢$4.9K9/10

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027+42¢5¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027←

10¢+40¢$18.1K5/5

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027←+40¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027

11¢+35¢$19.9K16/19

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027+35¢11¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027

6¢+40¢$23.0K13/15

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027+40¢6¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027

13¢+19¢$10.2K7/15

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027+19¢13¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027

9¢+58¢$6.4K2/1

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027+58¢9¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027

12¢+26¢$3.4K6/10

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027+26¢12¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027

9¢+30¢$60.9K9/14

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027+30¢9¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027

14¢+3¢$7961/5

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027+3¢14¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027

10¢+20¢$105.7K3/7

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027+20¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027

11¢+52¢$6495/3

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027+52¢11¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027

10¢+4¢$2.5K1/6

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027+4¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027

10¢+23¢$6143/6

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027+23¢10¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs5 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $100·NO $1.8K

YES Team

Total Invested

$101

Avg Win Rate

66.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$70(-69.7%)

Whales

5

roundtripped🥇

Entry 42¢·214.6 shares

$-68INV $89 · WR 66.6%

Entry 23¢·34.2 shares

$-5INV $8 · WR 74.6%

Entry 4¢·72.3 shares

+$3INV $3 · WR 57.1%

Entry 21¢·4.8 shares·also $4 on NO

$-1INV $1 · WR 61.3%

LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged

Entry 0¢·8.1 shares·also $6 on NO

+$1INV $0 · WR 56.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.8K

Avg Win Rate

78.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$290(+16.4%)

Whales

5

KrassProven🥇

Entry 77¢·1,428.9 shares

+$213INV $1.1K · WR 77.2%

randomWalkingShrimpProven🥈

Entry 77¢·568 shares

+$74INV $437 · WR 77.0%

Defenseless-Placement🥉

Entry 92¢·242.8 shares

+$1INV $223 · WR 89.2%

LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged

Entry 70¢·8 shares·also $0 on YES

+$2INV $6 · WR 56.8%

Entry 80¢·4.8 shares·also $1 on YES

+$0INV $4 · WR 61.3%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1381ms