80 days left

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$13.5K

506 trades

Smart Whales

23

of 176 traders

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

17 MARKETS · $401.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027

10¢+30¢$35.2K14/21

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027+30¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027←

6¢+55¢$13.5K14/9

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027←+55¢6¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027

10¢+44¢$71.6K53/46

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027+44¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027

12¢+42¢$24.1K20/17

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027+42¢12¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027

5¢+42¢$4.9K9/10

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027+42¢5¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027

10¢+40¢$18.1K5/5

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027+40¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027

11¢+35¢$19.9K16/19

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027+35¢11¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027

6¢+40¢$23.0K13/15

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027+40¢6¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027

13¢+19¢$10.2K7/15

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027+19¢13¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027

10¢+57¢$6.4K2/1

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027+57¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027

12¢+26¢$3.4K6/10

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027+26¢12¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027

9¢+30¢$60.9K9/14

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027+30¢9¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027

14¢+3¢$7961/5

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027+3¢14¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027

10¢+20¢$105.7K3/7

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027+20¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027

11¢+52¢$6495/3

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027+52¢11¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027

10¢+4¢$2.5K1/6

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027+4¢10¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027

10¢+23¢$6143/6

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027+23¢10¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs9 NO

61%39%

61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $698 is directional: YES $68·NO $630

YES Team

Total Invested

$305

Avg Win Rate

71.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$248(-81.3%)

Whales

14

Entry 81¢·270.3 shares·also $70 on NO

$-202INV $218 · WR 72.2%

aenews2Proven🥈

Entry 15¢·160 shares

$-14INV $24 · WR 74.6%

Entry 10¢·141.5 shares

$-5INV $14 · WR 65.9%

Entry 64¢·19.9 shares

$-12INV $13 · WR 88.3%

melonmanmProven

Entry 12¢·100.9 shares

$-6INV $13 · WR 69.6%

Entry 10¢·64.1 shares

$-2INV $6 · WR 62.6%

Entry 6¢·88.7 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 57.1%

IrthBirthhedged

Entry 25¢·19 shares·also $13 on NO

$-4INV $5 · WR 57.3%

Entry 63¢·2.7 shares·also $0 on NO

$-2INV $2 · WR 73.1%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 12¢·11.3 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%

Showing top 10 of 14

NO Team

Total Invested

$725

Avg Win Rate

76.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$358(+49.3%)

Whales

9

KrassProven🥇

Entry 77¢·659.2 shares

+$112INV $504 · WR 77.2%

randomWalkingShrimpProven🥈

Entry 71¢·120 shares

+$28INV $85 · WR 77.0%

Entry 25¢·280.3 shares·also $218 on YES

+$193INV $70 · WR 72.2%

DirkDiggler67Proven

Entry 58¢·41 shares

+$15INV $24 · WR 67.6%

Defenseless-Placement

Entry 93¢·17.2 shares

+$0INV $16 · WR 89.2%

IrthBirthhedged

Entry 68¢·19 shares·also $5 on YES

+$5INV $13 · WR 57.3%

Entry 71¢·16 shares

+$4INV $11 · WR 70.4%

Entry 88¢·1.3 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 55.8%

Entry 12¢·2.7 shares·also $2 on YES

+$2INV $0 · WR 73.1%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 883ms