GeopoliticsResolved
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$3.7K
180 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 60 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $51 is directional: YES $0·NO $51YES Team
Total Invested
$949
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+1.6%)
Whales
6
D
dsjkfbc🥇hedged
Entry 136¢·498.4 shares·also $125 on NO
Invested
$678
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $678 · WR 64.6%
M
maracat🥈
Entry 54¢·256 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $138 · WR 57.9%
R
Raskell🥉
Entry 69¢·164 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $113 · WR 62.8%
F
FrogCharts
Entry 40¢·35 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $14 · WR 64.3%
M
MoonNight123
Entry 87¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 70.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 23¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 68.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$468
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$462(-98.7%)
Whales
7
C
Ceoooq🥇
Entry 50¢·575.8 shares
Invested
$288
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-288
$-288INV $288 · WR 62.6%
D
dsjkfbc🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·498.4 shares·also $678 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 64.6%
K
Kimera-🥉
Entry 57¢·43.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $25 · WR 65.4%
T
tugjbn
Entry 58¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 58.5%
C
0xc80c5317...
Entry 32¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 55.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 1¢·478.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 72.2%
S
Savage-Snow
Entry 12¢·18 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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