GeopoliticsResolved
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$32.5K
255 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 157 traders · 1 on both sides
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
2 MARKETS · $36.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs6 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $413 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $189·NO $221YES Team
Total Invested
$207
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$204(-98.7%)
Whales
10
G
generalVR🥇
Entry 76¢·182.4 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $138 · WR 65.6%
A
aenews2◆Proven🥈
Entry 14¢·292.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 74.6%
9
0x93a93d84...🥉
Entry 30¢·56 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 59.7%
F
Faston
Entry 6¢·100 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 55.2%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 14¢·10 shares·also $135 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 69.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 6¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
8
0x8242a089...
Entry 36¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.2%
F
0xfb7fdd0f...
Entry 37¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.6%
0
0x01eebb36...
Entry 37¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
D
0xd4e8d484...
Entry 54¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$381
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+3.6%)
Whales
6
P
Porx🥇
Entry 93¢·170.7 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $158 · WR 65.9%
L
lottonakamoto🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·137 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$135
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $135 · WR 69.9%
R
ranks6444🥉
Entry 94¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $47 · WR 94.7%
A
AztecaBull
Entry 98¢·35.7 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $35 · WR 88.7%
L
LMBY
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 94.0%
H
Hoarse-Gaffer
Entry 88¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 92.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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