25 days left
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$12.7K
481 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 176 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
5 MARKETS · $44.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
0¢+14¢$2.8K2/12by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting+14¢0¢
$2.8K2/12
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
0¢+5¢$4.0K1/19by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting+5¢0¢
$4.0K1/19
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
93¢−73¢$21.2K6/24No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−73¢93¢
$21.2K6/24
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs20 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 7¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 7¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
$165
$2.6K
+16 new YES+33 new NO · 9 smart whales
$171 bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $159 is directional: YES $156·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$123(-78.7%)
Whales
4
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 30¢·340 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $102 · WR 59.0%
P
PrimePenguin◆Proven🥈
Entry 25¢·204.8 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $51 · WR 58.5%
B
big-bird1🥉
Entry 33¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.1%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 24¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+10.7%)
Whales
20
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 83¢·440 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $366 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 93¢·300 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $279 · WR 87.4%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 87¢·255 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $221 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 90¢·165 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $149 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 62¢·236.7 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $147 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 95¢·132.7 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $126 · WR 86.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 92¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $124 · WR 84.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 91¢·119.5 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $108 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 89¢·84.9 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $75 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·72.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $52 · WR 79.2%
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