Tech/AI46 days left
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$7.3K
101 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 81 traders
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
2 MARKETS · $69.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 10¢
YES 31%NO 69%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 10¢
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
$1
$11
+1 new YES+1 new NO
In-form wallets ⓘ6 of 9 on NO
YES 3· $1.2KNO 6· $3.4Kone dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
3 wallets on YES
6 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 25h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.7K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $3.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$832(-69.7%)
Whales
4
B
BrownBees◆Proven🥇
Entry 33¢·3,617.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-822
$-822INV $1.2K · WR 62.5%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 793¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 71.9%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 33¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 66.3%
J
jackjazk-ladder
Entry 18¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+32.2%)
Whales
9
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 68¢·3,795.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$817
+$817INV $2.6K · WR 56.4%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 66¢·431.1 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $284 · WR 78.9%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 65¢·300 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $195 · WR 62.8%
I
ifyouloveme◆Proven
Entry 64¢·246.3 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $157 · WR 60.0%
A
Agile-Catamaran
Entry 67¢·220.7 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $147 · WR 88.0%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu
Entry 81¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $99 · WR 65.6%
I
iutwpfal◆Proven
Entry 65¢·45 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 74.3%
F
frenchflair15
Entry 68¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 60.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 91¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 69.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 420ms