Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$3.9K
76 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 45 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs3 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$3.1K+25 new NO$921
$322 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$51 of $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6K·NO $658YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
56.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$326(+20.1%)
Whales
6
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 72¢·1,333.8 shares
Invested
$959
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$241
+$241INV $959 · WR 55.6%
C
capib🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·435 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$323
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $323 · WR 55.5%
G
grasstoucher69🥉
Entry 94¢·277.1 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $262 · WR 58.1%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 61¢·90 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $55 · WR 59.1%
B
bsqdrfy
Entry 81¢·26 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $21 · WR 66.3%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 96¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$684
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$431(-63.0%)
Whales
3
S
superstonksbro◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·2,425.6 shares
Invested
$658
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-416
$-416INV $658 · WR 59.0%
C
capib🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·98.6 shares·also $323 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $24 · WR 55.5%
P
PrimePenguin🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·5 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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