Resolved
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$4.7K
262 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 102 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs21 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 95%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$2.7K+26 new NO$253
$237 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $538 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $230·NO $304YES Team
Total Invested
$242
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+469.9%)
Whales
3
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 17¢·1,370.8 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1134
+$1134INV $230 · WR 57.3%
E
e2021dc🥈
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 55.2%
P
pangloz99🥉hedged
Entry 44¢·4.1 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 62.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$622
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$620(-99.7%)
Whales
21
Y
yellowpp🥇
Entry 82¢·181.8 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $149 · WR 75.5%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 84¢·135 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $113 · WR 88.0%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 75¢·98.2 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $73 · WR 79.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 78¢·80.4 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·60 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 89.1%
W
weatherBear
Entry 88¢·42 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
96.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 96.5%
P
pangloz99hedged
Entry 68¢·52.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 62.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 85¢·33 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 84.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 34¢·49.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 86.0%
S
superman1998
Entry 81¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 80.2%
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