Resolved
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 12?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2.9K
328 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 126 traders
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs24 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $270 is directional: YES $144·NO $126YES Team
Total Invested
$319
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$113(+35.5%)
Whales
16
C
curie🥇hedged
Entry 81¢·112.9 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $92 · WR 55.5%
S
slr07🥈hedged
Entry 70¢·111 shares·also $77 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $78 · WR 64.6%
K
kevolution🥉
Entry 85¢·60 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $51 · WR 71.1%
X
xiaopingan3565
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 66.4%
S
sionbg
Entry 98¢·21.5 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $21 · WR 85.7%
W
Weird-Holder◆Proven
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 75.7%
S
safeforever
Entry 91¢·8.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 69.8%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 92¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 57.1%
A
Adventurous-Magnet
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 67.0%
S
ShaneLin
Entry 12¢·28.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $3 · WR 73.3%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$335
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$302(-90.3%)
Whales
24
L
Laury2🥇
Entry 61¢·135 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $82 · WR 60.4%
S
slr07🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·131 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$77
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 64.6%
B
Bilberry🥉
Entry 37¢·100.4 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 58.8%
R
randomizer1998
Entry 13¢·180 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 63.6%
C
curiehedged
Entry 15¢·155.1 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 55.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 43¢·43 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 32¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 59.6%
P
pangloz99
Entry 31¢·19 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 63.0%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 19¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 59.6%
O
Offbeat-Stealth
Entry 49¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 24
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