🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Geopolitics

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$5.2K
169 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 70 traders

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

8 MARKETS · $29.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$679+11 new NO$1.7K
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $127 is directional: YES $126·NO $1
YES Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$149(-93.0%)
Whales
5
L
Long-Venue🥇
Entry 91¢·83.2 shares
$-71INV $76 · WR 72.7%
X
XBTmidcurv🥈
Entry 85¢·40 shares
$-32INV $34 · WR 62.9%
U
usernameisrandomorlong🥉
Entry 72¢·31.3 shares
$-21INV $23 · WR 65.0%
V
vinii
Entry 56¢·40 shares
$-20INV $22 · WR 66.2%
L
lookatmemom
Entry 85¢·6 shares
$-5INV $5 · WR 80.0%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 35ms
Smart money 56% YES: Israel military action against Lebanon…