GeopoliticsResolved

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$5.9K
274 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 108 traders

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs9 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $424 is directional: YES $129·NO $295

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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