YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$719
27 trades
Smart Whales
2
of 24 traders
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
9 MARKETS · $3.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026←
4¢+46¢$7191/1Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026←+46¢4¢
$7191/1
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026
23¢+27¢$4241/1Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026+27¢23¢
$4241/1
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026
10¢—$2060/0Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026—10¢
$2060/0
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026
10¢—$2760/0Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026—10¢
$2760/0
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026
21¢−21¢$4220/1Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026−21¢21¢
$4220/1
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026
14¢—$1980/0Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026—14¢
$1980/0
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026
16¢—$2820/0Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026—16¢
$2820/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs1 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$93+15 new NO$619
$79 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $228 is directional: YES $1·NO $227YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-66.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+17.7%)
Whales
1
Smart Whale Trades
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