YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.8K
84 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 49 traders
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
9 MARKETS · $20.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026
3¢−3¢$1.1K0/5Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026−3¢3¢
$1.1K0/5
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026
11¢−11¢$1.2K0/3Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026−11¢11¢
$1.2K0/3
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026
21¢−7¢$2.3K1/6Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026−7¢21¢
$2.3K1/6
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026←
24¢+19¢$2.8K3/4Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026←+19¢24¢
$2.8K3/4
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026
19¢+17¢$4.8K4/7Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026+17¢19¢
$4.8K4/7
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026
16¢−16¢$2.0K0/5Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026−16¢16¢
$2.0K0/5
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026
3¢−3¢$4.6K0/4Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026−3¢3¢
$4.6K0/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+2 new NO$130
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $240 is directional: YES $240·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$154(+64.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$232
Avg Win Rate
87.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+6.7%)
Whales
4
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 85¢·157.2 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $134 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·120 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $59 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $26 · WR 88.5%
D
Downright-Afterthought
Entry 71¢·18 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 82.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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