YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$2.0K
101 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 46 traders
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
9 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026
3¢−3¢$1.1K0/5Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026−3¢3¢
$1.1K0/5
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026
13¢−13¢$1.2K0/3Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026−13¢13¢
$1.2K0/3
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026←
29¢−9¢$2.0K1/4Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026←−9¢29¢
$2.0K1/4
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026
24¢+16¢$2.8K2/3Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026+16¢24¢
$2.8K2/3
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026
19¢+11¢$4.8K3/7Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026+11¢19¢
$4.8K3/7
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026
16¢−16¢$2.0K0/5Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026−16¢16¢
$2.0K0/5
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026
3¢−3¢$4.6K0/5Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026−3¢3¢
$4.6K0/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$177+13 new NO$531
$100 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $10·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+101.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$252
Avg Win Rate
87.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-2.7%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 89¢·157.2 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $140 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·120 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $58 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $28 · WR 87.5%
A
0xa24d776f...
Entry 66¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 94.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 73¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 94¢·3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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