GeopoliticsResolved
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.4K
193 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 79 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs15 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $33 is directional: YES $30·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$30(-99.4%)
Whales
7
V
vozomnil🥇
Entry 4¢·300 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 71.6%
J
Jnf17🥈
Entry 13¢·58 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 63.0%
M
ms1910🥉
Entry 13¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 56.8%
7
0x7e1456f6...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.1%
B
0xb5cbcb0f...
Entry 22¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.0%
D
0xd0839ad4...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
L
luciebot
Entry 14¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 81.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$633
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$105(+16.5%)
Whales
15
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 92¢·170 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $156 · WR 69.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 99¢·130 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $129 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 84¢·137.5 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $115 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 84¢·128.2 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $108 · WR 86.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 79¢·36 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $28 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 68¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $27 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 79.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 88.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 88.0%
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