Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16?
YES Price
88¢
88% implied
NO Price
12¢
12% implied
Volume
$8.6K
570 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 215 traders · 4 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 16?
11 MARKETS · $20.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 16
0¢+33¢$5625/10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 16+33¢0¢
$5625/10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 16
0¢+38¢$5016/10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 16+38¢0¢
$5016/10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 16
0¢+37¢$2.9K13/22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 16+37¢0¢
$2.9K13/22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 16
13¢+28¢$5.2K16/23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 16+28¢13¢
$5.2K16/23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16←
88¢−42¢$8.6K26/30Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16←−42¢88¢
$8.6K26/30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on October 16
0¢+50¢$4051/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on October 16+50¢0¢
$4051/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 16
0¢+100¢$1001/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 16+100¢0¢
$1001/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 16
0¢+100¢$1802/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 16+100¢0¢
$1802/0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 16
0¢+100¢$1801/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 16+100¢0¢
$1801/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
35 YESvs39 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+102 new YES$3.9K+103 new NO$2.8K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 44 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales33 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$29 of $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $745·NO $472YES Team
Total Invested
$989
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$825(+83.5%)
Whales
35
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 48¢·758.8 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$316
+$316INV $363 · WR 60.9%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 40¢·307.8 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $124 · WR 58.5%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥉
Entry 69¢·109 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $75 · WR 58.5%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 67¢·75 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $50 · WR 59.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 66¢·63.9 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $42 · WR 59.8%
U
Upbeat-Politicianhedged
Entry 31¢·135 shares·also $161 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $42 · WR 74.2%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 66¢·54.3 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $36 · WR 56.7%
K
kerbrervhedged
Entry 44¢·80.5 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $35 · WR 63.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 25¢·124.1 shares·also $77 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $31 · WR 55.2%
W
Well-Groomed-Pumphedged
Entry 80¢·34.2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 79.9%
Showing top 10 of 35
NO Team
Total Invested
$902
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$625(-69.3%)
Whales
39
U
Upbeat-Politician🥇hedged
Entry 137¢·117.6 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$161
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-146
$-146INV $161 · WR 74.2%
T
TunSahur🥈
Entry 45¢·348.7 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $157 · WR 59.7%
F
Fluid-Haversack🥉
Entry 52¢·224 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $117 · WR 87.5%
A
AlexD87
Entry 33¢·300.9 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $99 · WR 73.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 62¢·124.1 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$77
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $77 · WR 55.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 19¢·161.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $30 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 29¢·60 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $17 · WR 89.3%
M
MirrketsTrader
Entry 60¢·25 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 66.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 39¢·38 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $15 · WR 86.6%
P
Pleased-Suite
Entry 66¢·22 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $14 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 39
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