Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$2.1K
242 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 95 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Warsaw on October 15?
11 MARKETS · $6.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 15
0¢0¢$1860/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 150¢0¢
$1860/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 15
1¢−1¢$2670/2Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 15−1¢1¢
$2670/2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15
7¢+11¢$7512/9Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15+11¢7¢
$7512/9
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15←
42¢−2¢$2.1K4/6Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15←−2¢42¢
$2.1K4/6
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15
44¢+2¢$2.1K6/7Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15+2¢44¢
$2.1K6/7
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 15
4¢+36¢$2102/3Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 15+36¢4¢
$2102/3
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 15
0¢0¢$2060/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 150¢0¢
$2060/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 15
0¢0¢$4540/1Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 150¢0¢
$4540/1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 15
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 15—0¢
$150/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs14 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+46 new YES$680+44 new NO$890
$366 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$80 of $563 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $174·NO $309YES Team
Total Invested
$217
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-4.9%)
Whales
8
A
arehovbrow🥇
Entry 44¢·233.6 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $103 · WR 69.8%
K
kerbrerv🥈
Entry 47¢·113.7 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $54 · WR 63.1%
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥉hedged
Entry 40¢·100.1 shares·also $191 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $40 · WR 59.2%
S
sb896345
Entry 47¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 62.6%
B
bhuumi
Entry 48¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.0%
N
NHHDTX
Entry 47¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 73.9%
D
dandanteng
Entry 38¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+2.5%)
Whales
14
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 57¢·333.5 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$191
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $191 · WR 59.2%
T
TunSahur🥈
Entry 57¢·113.9 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $65 · WR 59.8%
W
Well-Groomed-Pump🥉
Entry 56¢·58 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 80.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·64.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $32 · WR 85.9%
F
fox49374
Entry 59¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 65.1%
R
risto-test1
Entry 60¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 56.0%
N
Near-Science
Entry 64¢·18 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 61.3%
B
babulk
Entry 62¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 81.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 86.5%
V
Vigilant-Emotion
Entry 54¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 927ms