Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.9K
625 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 159 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs31 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $385 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $58·NO $315YES Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$145(-84.5%)
Whales
17
C
cleaningLady🥇
Entry 17¢·298.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 61.4%
C
c0oper🥈
Entry 101¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 67.0%
S
smi1e🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·35 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 85.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 30¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 59.6%
O
oleksiyz
Entry 35¢·27 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 69.1%
2
241532532432hedged
Entry 19¢·30 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 58.9%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 17¢·22.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 61.3%
L
LJW1
Entry 9¢·23.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 84.3%
R
RiskyMoolah
Entry 5¢·40 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 74.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 35¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$611
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$436(+71.4%)
Whales
31
P
pangloz99🥇
Entry 80¢·135.7 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $109 · WR 63.0%
2
241532532432🥈hedged
Entry 79¢·100 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $79 · WR 58.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 52¢·130 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $67 · WR 85.9%
S
SimTrade
Entry 92¢·54.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $50 · WR 87.5%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 84¢·45 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $38 · WR 59.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 94¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 72.2%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·67 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $33 · WR 67.7%
B
Bilberry
Entry 27¢·106.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $29 · WR 58.8%
S
Sorrowful-Text
Entry 76¢·37 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $28 · WR 69.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 73¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 31
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