Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 8?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.7K
474 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 128 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs38 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $390 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $198·NO $176YES Team
Total Invested
$342
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$320(-93.3%)
Whales
20
M
mahmed-abula-ibn-mahmud🥇hedged
Entry 115¢·47 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$54
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $54 · WR 66.5%
M
mikeportnoy🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·65.4 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 62.5%
N
nanxin🥉
Entry 46¢·108.9 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 86.2%
F
ForeverAlone69
Entry 42¢·110.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $46 · WR 59.3%
C
cleaningLady
Entry 24¢·148 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $36 · WR 61.4%
P
pangloz99hedged
Entry 33¢·67 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 63.0%
S
Sorrowful-Texthedged
Entry 9¢·182 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 69.4%
C
crabrave
Entry 17¢·47 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 62.6%
N
Nielie10hedged
Entry 16¢·47.9 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 81.3%
W
wwwoooeee
Entry 20¢·24.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 57.2%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$892
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$334(+37.4%)
Whales
38
S
SimTrade🥇
Entry 90¢·111.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $100 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 58¢·161.3 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $93 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 53¢·120 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $64 · WR 69.2%
C
Chasey-Lain
Entry 98¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
95.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $53 · WR 95.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 87.7%
2
241532532432◆Proven
Entry 81¢·50.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $41 · WR 58.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 80¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $41 · WR 59.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 89¢·43.5 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $39 · WR 84.5%
M
mikeportnoyhedged
Entry 57¢·65.4 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $38 · WR 62.5%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 75¢·43.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $33 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 38
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