Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.1K
415 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 171 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs29 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 11 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 78%· net of hedges
+64 new YES$3.6K+63 new NO$1.4K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 30 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales25 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$72 of $733 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $458·NO $203YES Team
Total Invested
$561
Avg Win Rate
60.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$730(+130.2%)
Whales
25
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 38¢·717.2 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$446
+$446INV $271 · WR 58.9%
T
twobonclay🥈
Entry 44¢·85.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $38 · WR 59.9%
P
pangloz99🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·54.7 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$36
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $36 · WR 62.7%
Q
Qatalyst
Entry 37¢·93.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $35 · WR 55.9%
K
kerbrerv
Entry 44¢·77.5 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $34 · WR 62.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 54¢·36 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $19 · WR 59.7%
2
241532532432◆Proven
Entry 37¢·45.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $17 · WR 57.4%
P
Plain-Injustice
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 62.9%
C
Classic-Loggiahedged
Entry 47¢·32.2 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $15 · WR 59.6%
C
crabrave
Entry 40¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $12 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$374(-96.2%)
Whales
29
S
Sophisticated-Dawn🥇
Entry 65¢·127.9 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 58.2%
P
pangloz99🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·114.6 shares·also $36 on YES
Invested
$69
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $69 · WR 62.7%
T
TakeYourTemperature🥉
Entry 64¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 58.2%
C
Classic-Loggiahedged
Entry 40¢·49.4 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 59.6%
F
fallin1
Entry 71¢·27.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 79.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 37¢·52.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 59.9%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 40¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 59.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 36¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 59.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 47¢·31.2 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 59.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 39¢·35.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 29
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