Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$12.5K
859 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 195 traders · 3 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs37 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+65 new YES$5.4K+43 new NO$560
$435 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
25 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$115 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $520·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$706
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$783(+110.9%)
Whales
31
D
darthgeek🥇
Entry 100¢·200.2 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $199 · WR 90.7%
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·430.2 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$110
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$320
+$320INV $110 · WR 62.6%
S
SimTrade🥉
Entry 89¢·112 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $100 · WR 87.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 77¢·84.7 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $65 · WR 55.3%
I
iSteps◆Proven
Entry 94¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $29 · WR 64.6%
S
Sorrowful-Texthedged
Entry 56¢·38 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $21 · WR 69.4%
N
nagibator01
Entry 41¢·50 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $21 · WR 55.0%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 28¢·70.1 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $19 · WR 56.5%
V
Vittall
Entry 73¢·21.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $16 · WR 82.8%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 27¢·56 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $15 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-93.9%)
Whales
37
S
sailor82🥇
Entry 75¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$751
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-751
$-751INV $751 · WR 69.5%
H
Hasty-Worker🥈
Entry 106¢·126.5 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $135 · WR 59.9%
P
pangloz99🥉
Entry 33¢·363.6 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $121 · WR 63.0%
C
cleaningLady
Entry 64¢·120.1 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 61.4%
S
Sorrowful-Texthedged
Entry 36¢·202 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$74
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $74 · WR 69.4%
2
241532532432◆Proven
Entry 71¢·100.4 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 58.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 48¢·98.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $47 · WR 85.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 73¢·61.4 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 75.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 73¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $37 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 73¢·49.9 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 37
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