Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 8?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$4.7K
307 trades
Smart Whales
43
of 156 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs27 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$87 of $531 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $256·NO $188YES Team
Total Invested
$338
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$282(+83.5%)
Whales
18
K
kerbrerv🥇
Entry 46¢·119.5 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $55 · WR 61.5%
T
TakeYourTemperature🥈
Entry 55¢·91.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $51 · WR 67.6%
D
dd881🥉
Entry 94¢·53.4 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $50 · WR 93.5%
B
0xb0f34a9c...hedged
Entry 94¢·39.4 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 73.1%
B
BeresBalu
Entry 45¢·71.8 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $32 · WR 58.3%
S
sbel
Entry 47¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $28 · WR 76.1%
B
bigbigba
Entry 51¢·50 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $26 · WR 60.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 67¢·20 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 60.2%
S
Shallow-Diademhedged
Entry 32¢·33.5 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $11 · WR 60.0%
H
hgr1
Entry 50¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$315
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$304(-96.3%)
Whales
27
S
Sophisticated-Dawn🥇
Entry 54¢·167.9 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 58.5%
B
0xb0f34a9c...🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·75.1 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 73.1%
W
whhisky🥉
Entry 55¢·53 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 70.5%
P
pangloz99hedged
Entry 61¢·30 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 62.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 56¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 86.0%
S
Shallow-Diademhedged
Entry 61¢·17.4 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 60.0%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 54¢·19.2 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 60.2%
A
AlphaRinne
Entry 52¢·19 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 79.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 49¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 60.3%
S
sshiShiba.
Entry 55¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 61.6%
Showing top 10 of 27
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