Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.7K
853 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 269 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs42 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $568 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $166·NO $394YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$486(+44.6%)
Whales
16
B
BeginnersLuck2🥇
Entry 100¢·739.8 shares
Invested
$738
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $738 · WR 92.9%
S
Sorrowful-Text🥈hedged
Entry 40¢·333.4 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$133
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $133 · WR 69.4%
S
sailor82🥉
Entry 46¢·214.1 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $99 · WR 69.5%
C
CorkisGeldbeutel
Entry 50¢·101 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $51 · WR 87.3%
A
AlexD87hedged
Entry 22¢·127.4 shares·also $155 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $27 · WR 73.6%
C
Cholula123
Entry 91¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 56.4%
R
Remarkable-Question
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 90.4%
G
Good-Natured-Aftershave
Entry 98¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 90.7%
H
Harmonious-Stadium
Entry 98¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 93.0%
T
trrr12
Entry 98¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.7%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-89.6%)
Whales
42
A
AlexD87🥇hedged
Entry 121¢·127.4 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$155
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $155 · WR 73.6%
H
hypsterE🥈
Entry 70¢·204.9 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-143
$-143INV $143 · WR 79.0%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 92¢·152.7 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $141 · WR 75.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 42¢·310.1 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $129 · WR 72.2%
A
anonymous5474495
Entry 96¢·117 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $113 · WR 90.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 51¢·150.8 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $77 · WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·124 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $62 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 92¢·57.5 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 87.7%
W
what21cars
Entry 93¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 84.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 55¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 42
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