Resolved
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 19?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.3K
634 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 167 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs46 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $272·NO $744YES Team
Total Invested
$539
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$474(+87.8%)
Whales
27
S
SimTrade🥇
Entry 93¢·107.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $100 · WR 87.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·94.6 shares·also $99 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $78 · WR 55.3%
S
Sorrowful-Text🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·77 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $70 · WR 69.4%
C
Chilitrading
Entry 84¢·82.3 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $69 · WR 85.2%
2
22AcaciaAvenuehedged
Entry 30¢·185.5 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $56 · WR 56.8%
S
sleepyvector
Entry 9¢·200 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$182
+$182INV $18 · WR 82.2%
1
13gibs◆Proven
Entry 77¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.8%
Z
zoukmachine38
Entry 31¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $6 · WR 77.6%
C
CorkisGeldbeutel
Entry 7¢·53.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $4 · WR 87.3%
R
Reliable-Reamer
Entry 94¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-92.2%)
Whales
46
C
cleaningLady🥇
Entry 95¢·190 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $180 · WR 61.4%
R
runningman-848🥈
Entry 93¢·124 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $115 · WR 55.9%
A
anonymous5474495🥉
Entry 94¢·117.7 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $111 · WR 90.0%
W
Well-Lit-Puppet
Entry 87¢·115.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $100 · WR 60.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 169¢·58.5 shares·also $78 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $99 · WR 55.3%
2
22AcaciaAvenuehedged
Entry 166¢·39 shares·also $56 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 56.8%
H
hypsterE
Entry 89¢·55 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 79.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 21¢·179.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 46¢·65.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 85.9%
M
Memorable-Castanet
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 46
Smart Whale Trades
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