YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$1.8K
65 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 65 traders
Highest temperature in Paris on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $6.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15
0¢+10¢$1.2K1/9Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15+10¢0¢
$1.2K1/9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15
1¢+10¢$2641/8Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15+10¢1¢
$2641/8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 15
15¢+3¢$7112/9Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 15+3¢15¢
$7112/9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 15←
55¢−22¢$1.8K4/8Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 15←−22¢55¢
$1.8K4/8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15
27¢0¢$1.5K3/8Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 150¢27¢
$1.5K3/8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on November 15
3¢+11¢$2871/6Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on November 15+11¢3¢
$2871/6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on November 15
1¢+21¢$2162/7Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on November 15+21¢1¢
$2162/7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on November 15
0¢+25¢$951/3Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on November 15+25¢0¢
$951/3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on November 15
0¢+33¢$651/2Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on November 15+33¢0¢
$651/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 55¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 55¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
$786
$766
+34 new YES · 3 smart whales+32 new NO · 7 smart whales
$223 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $17·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+53.5%)
Whales
4
T
TakeYourTemperature🥇
Entry 54¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 69.3%
N
Near-Science🥈
Entry 54¢·16 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 57.5%
W
whhisky🥉
Entry 58¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 70.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $3 · WR 70.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$72
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-4.2%)
Whales
8
K
korda77🥇
Entry 45¢·32 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 84.8%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 47¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 47¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 47¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 46¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 70.1%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 46¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 84.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 46¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 80.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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