Resolved
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$15.7K
1,237 trades
Smart Whales
78
of 313 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
35 YESvs44 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $378 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $272·NO $103YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+101.3%)
Whales
35
S
sailor82🥇
Entry 50¢·2,498 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$1247
+$1247INV $1.3K · WR 69.5%
N
neo7777◆Proven🥈
Entry 43¢·2,015.3 shares
Invested
$867
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1149
+$1149INV $867 · WR 61.8%
9
0x9506e646...◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·1,401.7 shares
Invested
$701
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$701
+$701INV $701 · WR 58.8%
C
curiehedged
Entry 85¢·202.8 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$171
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $171 · WR 55.5%
D
Decisive-Conditioner
Entry 59¢·135.6 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $80 · WR 59.5%
M
mryeth
Entry 53¢·95.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $51 · WR 66.4%
I
iSteps◆Proven
Entry 93¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $46 · WR 64.6%
P
pangloz99
Entry 60¢·36 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $22 · WR 63.0%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 52¢·22 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $11 · WR 66.2%
R
Remarkable-Question
Entry 99¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 90.4%
Showing top 10 of 35
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-70.6%)
Whales
44
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 40¢·627.7 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-250
$-250INV $250 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·295.1 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $148 · WR 88.2%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon🥉
Entry 41¢·306.8 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 43¢·284.1 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $121 · WR 59.9%
P
poloethhedged
Entry 109¢·109.7 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $119 · WR 74.4%
P
PMpredictor123hedged
Entry 97¢·69.9 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 75.5%
R
RamsBR
Entry 60¢·101.7 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 63.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 39¢·153.2 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 59.6%
C
curiehedged
Entry 22¢·247.7 shares·also $171 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 55.5%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 31¢·169.6 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 44
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