Resolved
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$14.8K
1,185 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 272 traders · 3 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs56 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$69 of $980 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $240·NO $671YES Team
Total Invested
$957
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$887(-92.7%)
Whales
21
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·709.5 shares·also $326 on NO
Invested
$628
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-628
$-628INV $628 · WR 58.8%
D
Delirious-Farmer🥈
Entry 50¢·234.9 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $118 · WR 56.2%
N
newbie147🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·74.4 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$41
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $41 · WR 70.7%
N
nzbryant
Entry 49¢·57.8 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 55.9%
A
AuspiciousWolfhedged
Entry 34¢·50 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 61.3%
W
whhisky
Entry 54¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 70.9%
C
crabrave
Entry 39¢·41.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 62.6%
S
sb896345
Entry 55¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 62.5%
E
0xe6bccaa2...
Entry 32¢·30.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 56.0%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 29¢·18.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+56.2%)
Whales
56
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 46¢·709.5 shares·also $628 on YES
Invested
$326
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$383
+$383INV $326 · WR 58.8%
M
madbears🥈
Entry 98¢·316.5 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
93.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $309 · WR 93.9%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥉
Entry 54¢·290.9 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $158 · WR 59.6%
M
MonoWave
Entry 98¢·153.8 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $151 · WR 93.0%
F
fildoro
Entry 33¢·443.9 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$298
+$298INV $146 · WR 66.0%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 93¢·95.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $89 · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·167.4 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $84 · WR 59.6%
M
merod
Entry 51¢·162.5 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $83 · WR 84.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 62¢·131.1 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $81 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 51¢·152.1 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $78 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 56
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