YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$2.8K
145 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 93 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on October 18?
11 MARKETS · $10.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 18
0¢+50¢$3131/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 18+50¢0¢
$3131/1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 18
0¢0¢$4690/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 180¢0¢
$4690/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 18
0¢0¢$6220/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 180¢0¢
$6220/1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 18
7¢+43¢$1.1K1/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 18+43¢7¢
$1.1K1/1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18←
25¢+32¢$2.8K4/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18←+32¢25¢
$2.8K4/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 18
48¢−48¢$2.0K0/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 18−48¢48¢
$2.0K0/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 18
20¢+23¢$1.7K3/4Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 18+23¢20¢
$1.7K3/4
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 18
3¢+30¢$6231/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 18+30¢3¢
$6231/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 18
0¢—$5350/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 18—0¢
$5350/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs20 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+46 new YES$977+67 new NO$2.6K
$1000 of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$137 of $773 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $320·NO $316YES Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$76(+19.7%)
Whales
9
6
0x65f7226a...🥇hedged
Entry 28¢·1,028.9 shares·also $56 on NO
Invested
$292
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $292 · WR 57.3%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 34¢·143 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $48 · WR 57.9%
T
twobonclay🥉
Entry 32¢·57.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 63.3%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 35¢·36 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 57.0%
B
Bilberry
Entry 28¢·26.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 58.4%
K
kerbrerv
Entry 27¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 63.1%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 33¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 77.3%
D
0xde0d8c84...
Entry 28¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
F
0xf43e3787...
Entry 28¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 67.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$464
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-8.9%)
Whales
20
T
TunSahur🥇
Entry 76¢·185.5 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $141 · WR 59.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 79¢·130 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $102 · WR 55.2%
6
0x65f7226a...🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·85.3 shares·also $292 on YES
Invested
$56
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $56 · WR 57.3%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 71¢·47 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 59.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 72.1%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 72¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 83.9%
M
MirrketsTrader
Entry 70¢·21 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 66.1%
R
risto-test1hedged
Entry 72¢·19 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 57.0%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 70¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 61.1%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 69¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 59.9%
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