YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$2.3K
97 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 77 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Madrid on November 1?
11 MARKETS · $8.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or below on November 1
0¢+100¢$1551/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or below on November 1+100¢0¢
$1551/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 1
0¢+100¢$1551/0Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 1+100¢0¢
$1551/0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 1
0¢+33¢$3321/2Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 1+33¢0¢
$3321/2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 1
0¢+25¢$4481/3Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 1+25¢0¢
$4481/3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 1
2¢+27¢$5082/5Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 1+27¢2¢
$5082/5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1
23¢+6¢$1.5K2/5Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1+6¢23¢
$1.5K2/5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1
57¢−19¢$2.4K5/8Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1−19¢57¢
$2.4K5/8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1←
19¢+23¢$2.3K5/7Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1←+23¢19¢
$2.3K5/7
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on November 1
0¢+20¢$4661/4Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on November 1+20¢0¢
$4661/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$318+52 new NO$2.0K
$181 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$36 of $272 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $114·NO $123YES Team
Total Invested
$132
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$64(+48.9%)
Whales
6
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 14¢·814.4 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$114
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $114 · WR 57.0%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 11¢·73 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 56.3%
T
twobonclay🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·21 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 55.9%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 71.2%
N
Near-Science
Entry 8¢·14.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 59.0%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 18¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 74.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$385
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-6.2%)
Whales
14
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 83¢·128.1 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $107 · WR 88.8%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 84¢·75 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $63 · WR 86.6%
G
ghiwnp538712🥉
Entry 87¢·60.9 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $53 · WR 92.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 91¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $49 · WR 86.0%
M
MrBPT
Entry 93¢·24 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
92.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $22 · WR 92.4%
C
castbot
Entry 91¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
94.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $21 · WR 94.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 79.6%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 81¢·20.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 55.9%
B
Bilberryhedged
Entry 80¢·16.9 shares·also $114 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 57.0%
O
oleksiyz
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 69.3%
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