YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$1.6K
36 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 32 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in London on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 16
16¢—$8680/0Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 16—16¢
$8680/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 16
6¢—$490/0Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 16—6¢
$490/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 16
1¢—$980/0Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 16—1¢
$980/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on November 16
0¢—$3350/0Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on November 16—0¢
$3350/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on November 16
1¢—$780/0Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on November 16—1¢
$780/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on November 16
1¢—$330/0Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on November 16—1¢
$330/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on November 16
4¢—$960/0Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on November 16—4¢
$960/0
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 16
14¢—$1.3K0/0Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on November 16—14¢
$1.3K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs2 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 31¢
YES 75%NO 25%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 31¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
$428
$1.0K
+23 new YES · 4 smart whales+17 new NO · 3 smart whales
$169 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 4 on YES
YES 4NO 0one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $130 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $46·NO $79YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+39.6%)
Whales
6
B
baitiaobai🥇
Entry 22¢·100 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $22 · WR 65.8%
G
glory2hezbollah🥈
Entry 26¢·64.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 71.7%
H
HWReborn🥉
Entry 32¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 55.9%
N
newbie147hedged
Entry 9¢·30 shares·also $77 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 70.9%
U
Unwelcome-Plaintiff-Photograph
Entry 28¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.4%
N
Near-Science
Entry 9¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 57.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+2.2%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 65ms