Resolved
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 29?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$4.6K
391 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 110 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs12 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $796·NO $249YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$468(+34.7%)
Whales
13
D
ducky77🥇
Entry 83¢·605.2 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $505 · WR 92.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥈
Entry 98¢·297 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $292 · WR 59.7%
C
Classic-Loggia🥉
Entry 59¢·284.4 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $168 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 76¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $78 · WR 59.9%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 68¢·108.5 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $74 · WR 59.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·133.2 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $67 · WR 59.4%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·105.3 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $52 · WR 59.9%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·54.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $27 · WR 59.7%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·46 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $23 · WR 59.5%
2
241532532432hedged
Entry 15¢·20 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3 · WR 57.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$647
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$646(-99.8%)
Whales
12
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥇
Entry 50¢·423.6 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $212 · WR 59.8%
D
daegoth🥈
Entry 99¢·167.6 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
98.6%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $166 · WR 98.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $67 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·128.4 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 59.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 97¢·28 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 87.7%
G
ghiwnp538712
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 92.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 19¢·120 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 72.1%
W
wetno
Entry 75¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 79.9%
2
241532532432hedged
Entry 94¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 57.9%
G
G24L8
Entry 10¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
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