5 days left

Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?

YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$3.7K
106 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 56 traders

First snow of the 2026 season

24 MARKETS · $38.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 25¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 25¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 31h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $71 is directional: YES $5·NO $65

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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