Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.4K
164 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 122 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs14 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+63 new YES$465+79 new NO$2.4K
$396 of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$7 of $172 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $44 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $15·NO $106YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-53.0%)
Whales
10
R
Rigid-Hero🥇hedged
Entry 43¢·33.7 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 59.6%
H
Hungry-Withdrawal🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·15.5 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 60.5%
I
Ill-Informed-Mistake🥉
Entry 47¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 65.7%
T
Tender-Idea
Entry 52¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 84.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 58.0%
7
0x735bc2dd...
Entry 52¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 69.7%
B
Baxalay
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.5%
C
Cproject2
Entry 53¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.6%
B
bodyaXXL
Entry 53¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.3%
A
aaa221hedged
Entry 22¢·1.3 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 62.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$412
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$116(-28.3%)
Whales
14
C
chairh4ter🥇
Entry 99¢·258.7 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $256 · WR 84.3%
H
Hungry-Withdrawal🥈hedged
Entry 72¢·48.8 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $35 · WR 60.5%
O
oraclebotv3🥉
Entry 70¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 60.8%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 53¢·37.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 61.7%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 69¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 62.1%
R
Rigid-Herohedged
Entry 67¢·22.3 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 59.6%
A
aaa221hedged
Entry 80¢·13.3 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 62.1%
J
Jubilant-Going
Entry 68¢·14.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 61.9%
K
kolessov
Entry 89¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 89.6%
C
cathme45
Entry 91¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 84.6%
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