Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$75
13 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 10 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 10 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+50 new YES$495+73 new NO$2.3K
$396 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $191 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $7 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $29·NO $148YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
56.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-84.5%)
Whales
3
A
arbfinder2025🥇
Entry 22¢·134.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $29 · WR 55.4%
L
lelimarket🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 58.0%
R
Rigid-Hero🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·19.2 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 59.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+26.7%)
Whales
11
H
Hungry-Withdrawal🥇
Entry 70¢·50.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $35 · WR 60.6%
R
Rigid-Hero🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·38.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $32 · WR 59.8%
L
ladsontop🥉
Entry 96¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 91.4%
I
Impeccable-Sake
Entry 85¢·27.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 61.8%
I
Ijustmightmakeit
Entry 61¢·23 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $14 · WR 57.4%
J
Jubilant-Going
Entry 83¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 62.2%
C
c4b459
Entry 53¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 55.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·7 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 58.0%
5
0x59e72fbe...
Entry 69¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 58.9%
B
Baxalay
Entry 55¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 62.3%
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