YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$35.5K
980 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 170 traders · 1 on both sides
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
22 MARKETS · $294.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026
0¢+41¢$8.3K7/10Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026+41¢0¢
$8.3K7/10
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026
0¢+45¢$5.4K9/11Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026+45¢0¢
$5.4K9/11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026
0¢+27¢$5.8K6/16Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026+27¢0¢
$5.8K6/16
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026
0¢+25¢$5.5K6/18Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026+25¢0¢
$5.5K6/18
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026
0¢+17¢$6.5K5/24Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026+17¢0¢
$6.5K5/24
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026
0¢+19¢$6.3K6/26Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026+19¢0¢
$6.3K6/26
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026
0¢+23¢$6.9K6/20Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026+23¢0¢
$6.9K6/20
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026
0¢+15¢$5.1K4/22Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026+15¢0¢
$5.1K4/22
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026
0¢+11¢$5.4K3/24Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026+11¢0¢
$5.4K3/24
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026
0¢+15¢$4.1K4/23Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026+15¢0¢
$4.1K4/23
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026
0¢+12¢$6.0K4/30Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026+12¢0¢
$6.0K4/30
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026
0¢+13¢$13.3K4/27Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026+13¢0¢
$13.3K4/27
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026
0¢+31¢$7.4K10/22Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026+31¢0¢
$7.4K10/22
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026
0¢+24¢$5.0K8/26Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026+24¢0¢
$5.0K8/26
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026
0¢+19¢$7.2K6/25Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026+19¢0¢
$7.2K6/25
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026
1¢+20¢$15.2K8/30Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026+20¢1¢
$15.2K8/30
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026
2¢+28¢$26.5K13/31Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026+28¢2¢
$26.5K13/31
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026
1¢+20¢$22.6K8/31Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026+20¢1¢
$22.6K8/31
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026←
2¢+28¢$35.5K12/28Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026←+28¢2¢
$35.5K12/28
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026
4¢+21¢$18.6K10/30Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026+21¢4¢
$18.6K10/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs29 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$33+6 new NO$113
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$65 of $447 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $282·NO $100YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-90.1%)
Whales
12
3
0x3bd4dfee...🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·1,408.9 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-1216
$-1216INV $1.2K · WR 80.2%
S
sange111🥈
Entry 7¢·2,227.1 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $165 · WR 59.5%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 105¢·54.1 shares·also $614 on NO
Invested
$57
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $57 · WR 67.4%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 2¢·2,337 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $54 · WR 81.6%
B
0xbf45cc35...hedged
Entry 90¢·46 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$41
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $41 · WR 57.1%
P
Panopticon007
Entry 5¢·744 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $39 · WR 63.1%
B
Bitgodhedged
Entry 4¢·931.4 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $33 · WR 91.3%
V
vamnizar◆Proven
Entry 8¢·226.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $19 · WR 56.8%
O
OsvaldoMarianao27
Entry 10¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 5¢·30.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+83.5%)
Whales
29
M
Majas🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·654.1 shares·also $57 on YES
Invested
$614
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $614 · WR 67.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 79¢·516.7 shares
Invested
$406
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $406 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 65¢·360 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $233 · WR 72.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 93¢·205 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $191 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 81¢·188.6 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $152 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 58¢·198.2 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $115 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 80¢·104.6 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $84 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $70 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·103.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $52 · WR 79.6%
B
0xbf45cc35...hedged
Entry 98¢·46 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $45 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 29
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