YES Price
83¢
83% implied
NO Price
17¢
17% implied
Volume
$54.5K
1,439 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 245 traders · 3 on both sides
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
22 MARKETS · $297.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026
0¢+41¢$8.3K7/10Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026+41¢0¢
$8.3K7/10
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026
0¢+45¢$5.4K9/11Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026+45¢0¢
$5.4K9/11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026
0¢+27¢$5.8K6/16Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026+27¢0¢
$5.8K6/16
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026
0¢+25¢$5.5K6/18Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026+25¢0¢
$5.5K6/18
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026
0¢+17¢$6.5K5/24Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026+17¢0¢
$6.5K5/24
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026
0¢+19¢$6.3K6/26Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026+19¢0¢
$6.3K6/26
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026
0¢+23¢$6.9K6/20Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026+23¢0¢
$6.9K6/20
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026
0¢+15¢$5.1K4/22Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026+15¢0¢
$5.1K4/22
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026
0¢+11¢$5.4K3/24Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026+11¢0¢
$5.4K3/24
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026
0¢+15¢$4.1K4/23Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026+15¢0¢
$4.1K4/23
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026
0¢+12¢$6.0K4/30Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026+12¢0¢
$6.0K4/30
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026
0¢+13¢$13.3K4/27Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026+13¢0¢
$13.3K4/27
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026
0¢+31¢$7.4K10/22Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026+31¢0¢
$7.4K10/22
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026
0¢+24¢$5.0K8/26Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026+24¢0¢
$5.0K8/26
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026
0¢+19¢$7.2K6/25Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026+19¢0¢
$7.2K6/25
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026
1¢+20¢$15.2K8/30Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026+20¢1¢
$15.2K8/30
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026
1¢+29¢$26.5K13/31Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026+29¢1¢
$26.5K13/31
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026
1¢+20¢$22.6K8/31Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026+20¢1¢
$22.6K8/31
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026
2¢+28¢$35.5K12/28Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026+28¢2¢
$35.5K12/28
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026
4¢+21¢$18.6K10/30Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026+21¢4¢
$18.6K10/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs43 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 4 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$2.9K+8 new NO$162
$200 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$40 of $3.9K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $3.8K·NO $115YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+38.3%)
Whales
24
L
laureman🥇
Entry 83¢·2,234.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $1.9K · WR 91.4%
L
lilith275🥈
Entry 52¢·1,248.7 shares
Invested
$655
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$369
+$369INV $655 · WR 69.0%
H
Houdray🥉
Entry 74¢·474 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $349 · WR 66.6%
C
CopyMEyouwillwinhedged
Entry 86¢·400 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $345 · WR 70.0%
M
Majashedged
Entry 66¢·500 shares·also $414 on NO
Invested
$332
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $332 · WR 67.4%
S
sange111
Entry 54¢·613.1 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $329 · WR 59.5%
P
Prexpecthedged
Entry 124¢·164.1 shares·also $159 on NO
Invested
$204
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $204 · WR 78.2%
V
vamnizar◆Proven
Entry 25¢·724.8 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$414
+$414INV $180 · WR 56.8%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 34¢·500 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $168 · WR 81.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 84¢·200 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $168 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-54.3%)
Whales
43
M
Majas🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·400 shares·also $332 on YES
Invested
$414
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-346
$-346INV $414 · WR 67.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 57¢·420.1 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $239 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 57¢·363.4 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $208 · WR 85.9%
P
Prexpecthedged
Entry 48¢·334 shares·also $204 on YES
Invested
$159
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $159 · WR 78.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 64¢·214 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $138 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 66¢·125.1 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $82 · WR 87.7%
P
Panopticon007
Entry 25¢·312 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $78 · WR 63.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 51¢·150 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $77 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 56¢·130 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $72 · WR 88.2%
M
Mandalorec
Entry 25¢·239 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $60 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 43
Smart Whale Trades
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