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Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$17.7K
302 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 124 traders · 1 on both sides

Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?

10 MARKETS · $42.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs20 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+64 new YES$1.6K+58 new NO$12.8K
$317 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$300 of $11.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $9.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-70.7%)
Whales
7
R
RickRockRick🥇
Entry 50¢·3,000 shares
$-1275INV $1.5K · WR 76.4%
S
sazzaa🥈
Entry 9¢·3,417.5 shares
$-65INV $321 · WR 56.3%
I
Inferior-Element-Attainment🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·300 shares·also $150 on NO
$-128INV $150 · WR 91.3%
E
exponentially
Entry 9¢·587.9 shares
$-8INV $52 · WR 59.9%
B
bipbipbop
Entry 7¢·500 shares
+$2INV $35 · WR 72.6%
S
SupremeGambler
Entry 11¢·271.9 shares
$-10INV $30 · WR 73.7%
K
KTLA
Entry 5¢·100 shares
+$3INV $5 · WR 65.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October…