Resolved

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$169.1K
4,478 trades
Smart Whales
150
of 598 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

74 YESvs78 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 19 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $7.3K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $7.0K·NO $342

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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