19 days left
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$40.6K
1,608 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 212 traders
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
2 MARKETS · $85.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs39 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$439+29 new NO$1.8K
$444 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $567·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$535(-51.5%)
Whales
19
S
spaceloaf🥇
Entry 46¢·615.9 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $284 · WR 68.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·300.9 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$255
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $255 · WR 55.2%
U
Upbeat-Politician🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·141.3 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$122
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $122 · WR 74.0%
W
wert4
Entry 34¢·309 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $104 · WR 65.1%
A
Askeladd.
Entry 35¢·209.2 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $73 · WR 55.2%
M
mantou11
Entry 41¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $56 · WR 56.7%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 34¢·70 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $24 · WR 63.5%
N
neverhackme
Entry 16¢·80 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 75.8%
K
konduktor
Entry 31¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 69.2%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 80.6%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+32.5%)
Whales
39
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 70¢·2,010 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$302
+$302INV $1.4K · WR 70.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 60¢·881.1 shares
Invested
$526
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$241
+$241INV $526 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 57¢·596.2 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $338 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 57¢·550 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $312 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·313 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $210 · WR 88.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 66¢·300.9 shares·also $255 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $200 · WR 55.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·374.1 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $186 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 48¢·290 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $139 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 53¢·215 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $114 · WR 86.5%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 63¢·130.6 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $82 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 39
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