Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.8K
181 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 158 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs79 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 51¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 51¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 70 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
$4.8K
$21.6K
+371 new YES · 36 smart whales+541 new NO · 74 smart whales
$4.1K bought on both sides by the same 139 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 75% of the money is not a bet
$360 of $11.4K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $215·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
56.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-99.8%)
Whales
44
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,847.2 shares·also $2.5K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-2421
$-2421INV $2.4K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,772.5 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-1385
$-1385INV $1.4K · WR 55.1%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·400.7 shares·also $198 on NO
Invested
$200
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $200 · WR 56.5%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·302 shares·also $151 on NO
Invested
$151
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $151 · WR 55.0%
P
pinkslipz
Entry 42¢·198.7 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $83 · WR 55.2%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·99.9 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.5%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·40 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 80.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
S
Slow-Minute
Entry 24¢·67.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 94.5%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.6K(+67.1%)
Whales
79
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,950 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$2473
+$2473INV $2.5K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,891.5 shares·also $1.4K on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$1444
+$1444INV $1.4K · WR 55.1%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 98¢·532.4 shares
Invested
$523
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $523 · WR 91.9%
B
baby-best-player
Entry 90¢·502 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $453 · WR 84.6%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·203 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $200 · WR 70.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·395 shares·also $200 on YES
Invested
$198
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $198 · WR 56.5%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $186 · WR 85.5%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·302 shares·also $151 on YES
Invested
$151
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $151 · WR 55.0%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 88¢·165 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$145
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $145 · WR 59.2%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 64.6%
Showing top 10 of 79
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