🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$197
39 trades
Smart Whales
83
of 44 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

41 YESvs64 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 51¢
YES 39%NO 61%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 51¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 50 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+287 new YES · 33 smart whales+355 new NO · 55 smart whales
$3.9K bought on both sides by the same 135 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 92% of the money is not a bet
$8.3K of $9.7K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $559 is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $286·NO $525
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
56.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-46.2%)
Whales
41
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·5,000 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-1175INV $2.5K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·3,000 shares·also $1.5K on NO
$-705INV $1.5K · WR 55.1%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·444.2 shares·also $210 on NO
$-104INV $222 · WR 56.5%
J
jdjsjsss
Entry 50¢·208.3 shares
$-48INV $104 · WR 58.4%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·153 shares·also $77 on NO
$-36INV $77 · WR 55.0%
P
pinkslipz
Entry 47¢·111.4 shares
$-22INV $52 · WR 55.2%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-18INV $38 · WR 85.5%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 32¢·99.6 shares·also $2 on NO
$-6INV $32 · WR 58.6%
C
chiqizou
Entry 36¢·86.3 shares
$-9INV $31 · WR 68.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·40 shares·also $20 on NO
$-9INV $20 · WR 80.6%
Showing top 10 of 41

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15…