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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$14
1,522 trades
Smart Whales
103
of 734 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

49 YESvs77 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.9¢
YES 39%NO 61%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.9¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 66 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+339 new YES · 42 smart whales+477 new NO · 71 smart whales
$3.0K bought on both sides by the same 140 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 70% of the money is not a bet
$316 of $12.0K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.1K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $231·NO $3.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
56.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.4K(-99.8%)
Whales
49
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,835 shares·also $2.4K on NO
$-2415INV $2.4K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,739 shares·also $1.4K on NO
$-1368INV $1.4K · WR 55.1%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·373.6 shares·also $174 on NO
$-187INV $187 · WR 56.5%
J
jdjsjsss
Entry 41¢·255.2 shares
$-104INV $104 · WR 58.4%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·153 shares·also $77 on NO
$-76INV $77 · WR 55.0%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.5%
I
Impeccable-Sakehedged
Entry 57¢·59.9 shares·also $38 on NO
$-34INV $34 · WR 61.8%
B
Bokich
Entry 61¢·42.4 shares
$-26INV $26 · WR 78.3%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·40 shares·also $20 on NO
$-20INV $20 · WR 80.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 49

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15…