🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$12.3K
1,136 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 668 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

74 YESvs40 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 51¢
YES 65%NO 35%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 51¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 64 YES vs 23 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+411 new YES · 70 smart whales+316 new NO · 34 smart whales
$2.2K bought on both sides by the same 108 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 64% of the money is not a bet
$201 of $13.3K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 15 wallets. True directional: YES $4.6K·NO $233
YES Team
Total Invested
$8.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.5K(+50.9%)
Whales
74
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,905 shares·also $2.5K on NO
+$2450INV $2.5K · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,861 shares·also $1.3K on NO
+$1429INV $1.4K · WR 55.1%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·1,075 shares
+$10INV $1.1K · WR 91.9%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 99¢·835 shares·also $23 on NO
+$9INV $825 · WR 66.6%
X
x317
Entry 99¢·500 shares
+$4INV $496 · WR 79.9%
7
796F726B69hedged
Entry 99¢·300 shares·also $10 on NO
+$3INV $297 · WR 69.0%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·425 shares·also $220 on NO
+$212INV $213 · WR 56.5%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 93¢·210 shares·also $7 on NO
+$14INV $196 · WR 59.2%
L
loseurselfhedged
Entry 83¢·225 shares·also $38 on NO
+$39INV $186 · WR 85.5%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
+$3INV $117 · WR 64.6%
Showing top 10 of 74

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 63ms
Smart money 65% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14…