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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20
77 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 68 traders · 30 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

64 YESvs56 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 51¢
YES 53%NO 47%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 51¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 46 YES vs 33 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges
+438 new YES · 56 smart whales+390 new NO · 40 smart whales
$11.1K bought on both sides by the same 196 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 93% of the money is not a bet
$5.3K of $9.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $303·NO $343
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-52.3%)
Whales
64
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,985 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-1296INV $2.5K · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,706 shares·also $1.3K on NO
$-704INV $1.4K · WR 55.2%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·318.9 shares·also $153 on NO
$-83INV $159 · WR 56.7%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 45¢·174.4 shares·also $50 on NO
$-36INV $78 · WR 59.4%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·153 shares·also $77 on NO
$-40INV $77 · WR 55.1%
S
samsungBTChedged
Entry 56¢·88 shares·also $35 on NO
$-28INV $49 · WR 83.1%
N
nauyaan
Entry 58¢·75.8 shares
$-26INV $44 · WR 57.6%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-20INV $38 · WR 85.3%
0
0x052c8527...hedged
Entry 58¢·58 shares·also $5 on NO
$-20INV $34 · WR 57.7%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 58¢·55 shares·also $69 on NO
$-19INV $32 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 64

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14…