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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$2
2,663 trades
Smart Whales
131
of 990 traders · 29 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

77 YESvs83 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 62 YES vs 63 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+593 new YES$19.0K+586 new NO$16.3K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 251 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales80 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 77% of the money is not a bet
$11 of $10.7K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.2K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $1.0K·NO $1.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.1K(-99.8%)
Whales
77
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,455.9 shares·also $2.4K on NO
$-2228INV $2.2K · WR 56.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,458 shares·also $1.2K on NO
$-1229INV $1.2K · WR 55.6%
N
newera17🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·634.2 shares·also $98 on NO
$-587INV $587 · WR 70.5%
H
Hinkehedged
Entry 50¢·365 shares·also $204 on NO
$-183INV $183 · WR 56.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 64¢·125.7 shares·also $51 on NO
$-80INV $80 · WR 55.1%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $239 on NO
$-80INV $80 · WR 80.6%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 59¢·96.8 shares·also $33 on NO
$-57INV $57 · WR 74.7%
I
Impeccable-Sakehedged
Entry 60¢·83.7 shares·also $6 on NO
$-51INV $51 · WR 61.9%
D
0xd0d1cd02...hedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $45 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 64.4%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 55¢·90.2 shares·also $23 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 77

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13…