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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.3K
2,264 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 963 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

61 YESvs85 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 70 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+481 new YES$7.8K+642 new NO$30.7K
$8.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 215 buyers — left out of momentum
56 smart whales88 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$283 of $10.6K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.4K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $726·NO $2.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.6K(-99.6%)
Whales
61
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·5,000 shares·also $2.2K on NO
$-2498INV $2.5K · WR 56.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,264.1 shares·also $1.1K on NO
$-1131INV $1.1K · WR 55.6%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·409.4 shares·also $213 on NO
$-204INV $205 · WR 56.4%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
$-80INV $80 · WR 80.6%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 40¢·127 shares·also $14 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 55.1%
E
Exotic-Variation
Entry 57¢·85.7 shares
$-49INV $49 · WR 60.0%
I
Intentional-Underpass-Strengthhedged
Entry 56¢·82.3 shares·also $12 on NO
$-46INV $46 · WR 61.9%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 51¢·85 shares·also $31 on NO
$-43INV $43 · WR 74.7%
D
0xd0d1cd02...hedged
Entry 50¢·80 shares·also $50 on NO
$-40INV $40 · WR 64.4%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 61

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13…