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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$652
81 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 85 traders · 7 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs13 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 54%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$630+56 new NO$537
$99 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 99% of the money is not a bet
$5.1K of $8.2K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $39·NO $34
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
56.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$611(-14.9%)
Whales
9
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·5,000 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-375INV $2.5K · WR 56.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·3,000 shares·also $1.5K on NO
$-225INV $1.5K · WR 55.6%
D
0xd0d1cd02...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-8INV $50 · WR 64.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-3INV $19 · WR 58.0%
S
Synthesizerchanhedged
Entry 50¢·25 shares·also $12 on NO
$-2INV $13 · WR 57.4%
E
Extra-Small-Wisteriaboth sides
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
$-1INV $5 · WR 58.1%
V
vfssdfx
Entry 50¢·5 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.2%
U
USDDDDDDboth sides
Entry 50¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
M
maozei
Entry 0¢·5 shares
+$2INV $0 · WR 65.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13…