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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$13.5K
1,530 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 729 traders · 11 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

22 YESvs63 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 57 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+337 new YES$3.5K+469 new NO$19.5K
$3.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 119 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales67 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$122 of $10.9K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $320·NO $2.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.3K(-99.0%)
Whales
22
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,995 shares·also $2.3K on NO
$-2473INV $2.5K · WR 56.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,767.5 shares·also $1.3K on NO
$-1370INV $1.4K · WR 55.6%
H
Hinke🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·403.7 shares·also $223 on NO
$-200INV $202 · WR 56.4%
O
orangelin
Entry 50¢·160 shares
$-79INV $80 · WR 80.6%
L
loseurselfboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 85.2%
D
0xd0d1cd02...hedged
Entry 50¢·56.1 shares·also $50 on NO
$-28INV $28 · WR 64.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 27¢·82.8 shares·also $145 on NO
$-22INV $22 · WR 55.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 6¢·259.5 shares·also $205 on NO
$-14INV $15 · WR 59.4%
M
m-c-t31
Entry 33¢·31.3 shares
$-10INV $10 · WR 67.3%
Showing top 10 of 22

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12…