Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20.3K
2,424 trades
Smart Whales
128
of 983 traders · 29 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
107 YESvs50 NO
68%32%
68% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 95 YES vs 22 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+657 new YES$26.1K+493 new NO$8.3K
$10.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 233 buyers — left out of momentum
108 smart whales45 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$5.4K of $11.1K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.1K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $189YES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.7K(+70.7%)
Whales
107
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,910 shares·also $2.5K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$2430
+$2430INV $2.5K · WR 56.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,705.6 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1339
+$1339INV $1.4K · WR 55.7%
B
bbmazing🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·1,269.6 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$249
+$249INV $1.0K · WR 90.5%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 71¢·226.1 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$160
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $160 · WR 55.1%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 94¢·125 shares·also $32 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $117 · WR 59.4%
N
niubiclub9
Entry 66¢·156.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $103 · WR 87.9%
H
hhhhhh6
Entry 93¢·106.5 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $99 · WR 81.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.4%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
Entry 96¢·83.3 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $80 · WR 86.9%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 94¢·85 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $80 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 10 of 107
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
56.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.4K(-98.6%)
Whales
50
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,955 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2453
$-2453INV $2.5K · WR 56.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·2,771.8 shares·also $1.4K on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1372
$-1372INV $1.4K · WR 55.7%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.4%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.6%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 22¢·199.4 shares·also $160 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $45 · WR 55.1%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·84.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 56.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.7%
T
Tender-Idea
Entry 46¢·77.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 75.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 33¢·98 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 56.6%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 17¢·189.8 shares·also $117 on YES
Invested
$32
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $32 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 50
Smart Whale Trades
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